The first expert I interviewed was Randall Reback, Associate
Professor of Economics, and my colleague at Barnard College, Columbia
University. His specialty is the Economics of Education; and he is particularly
interested in K-12 education policy in the US, with a focus on policies that
affect teachers, and how they are evaluated. He also studies policies that
determine the types of non-academic services that students receive in schools,
like health services. He is also interested in school choice policies, and what
determines how much money schools get to spend.
I wanted to know more about Professor Reback's paper “Mobility, Housing Markets, and Schools: Estimating the Effects of Interdistrict Choice Programs.”
In this paper, Professor Reback and his co-authors, Eric J. Brunner and Sung-Woo Cho, study a policy called
“Interdistrict Choice.” These are public school choice programs, also called
open enrollment programs. These programs are in place in many US states.
Families can live in one school district and apply to send their child or
children to school in another, nearby district. Until recently, with the rise
of charter schools, this was the most heavily used form of school choice in the
US. The rules vary by state, but the idea is to give families freedom of
choice, in order to provide a better match for each child in terms of schooling
needs. In some states, the goal is also to increase diversity within a school
district, by guaranteeing a certain number of spaces for children from outside
the district.
I wondered how often families actually take advantage of
these programs. The data show that about 5% of students transfer out of
district on average, with a high of 10%, and a low of 1%. So, these policies
seem to be effective. But he argues that the districts are allowed to limit the
number of slots available for transfer students; and states could put pressure
on districts to expand the programs, and take more transfer students.
Which families take advantage of the policy? The children
who transfer, he says, have parents who are more well-off than their neighbors,
but not as well-off as the parents of the children in the district to which
they are transferring.
The unintended consequences of this policy are fascinating.
The researchers found them by comparing the 12 states where the districts are
required to participate in the program to other districts, often nearby, where
the transfer policies are not adopted. Professor Reback explains them from an
economist’s perspective: this policy is intended to affect the market for schooling, but it also turns out to
have consequences on the market for housing.
In particular, in districts where there are desirable nearby transfer opportunities
house prices rise. Families are
willing to pay more for a house in a district where they have the chance to try
to transfer to a nearby school district. The data in the paper suggests that if
a state were to adopt a statewide inter-district choice program, house prices
would increase by more than 5 percent for homes in areas with the most
desirable outside transfer opportunities. Also, population density increases in these districts. More families are
choosing to live in these communities. And, residential composition changes: these districts become slightly wealthier.
Again, these are all compared to districts that are similar, but happen to
be located in places that didn’t have this transfer policy.
So, according to Professor Reback:
“even if the choice policy leads to segregation across schools, it helps integrate across communities. Households that might not have chosen to live in a community in the past, because they would have chosen to live in a more affluent community, now they can live in a community with more income diversity, and attempt to send their kids to other public school districts. The policy has an integrating effect in terms of residential diversity, even if it might have a segregating effect in terms of which kids are attending school with which other children.”
“even if the choice policy leads to segregation across schools, it helps integrate across communities. Households that might not have chosen to live in a community in the past, because they would have chosen to live in a more affluent community, now they can live in a community with more income diversity, and attempt to send their kids to other public school districts. The policy has an integrating effect in terms of residential diversity, even if it might have a segregating effect in terms of which kids are attending school with which other children.”
Perhaps you are not surprised that there is a link between
the market for schooling and market for housing. You probably know that,
traditionally, much of the value of a home comes from the value of the public
schooling in the district that the home is located in. Researchers have linked
voting behavior on school choice programs -- not just this one but also private
school voucher programs and charter school programs -- to the housing market.
Even if voters aren’t going to use a programs themselves, if they live in a
district where such a program is on the slate, they might not support it for
fear of losing some of the value of their homes. And the evidence is that house
prices do fall, though only slightly, in the school districts with these
policies. Houses retain most of their value, however, because the only way
students are guaranteed to attend these schools is to live in these districts;
so these houses are still the most attractive.
One interesting thing about these unintended consequences is
the distinction between unintended consequences and unanticipated consequences. In
this case, the consequences on the housing market, and on the redistribution of
the population, are not unanticipated. The policy makers, school districts, and
the homeowners all seem to understand that there will be effects on the housing
market. In fact, it’s one reason why the districts might limit the number of
slots available to students from outside the district -- to limit the effect on house prices.
So, in this case, the unintended consequences are limited,
because of the limited number of slots available in each district. This is a
good thing. But, it is my goal in this blog to learn from these experts how we
might re-design policies in the future. So, I asked Professor Reback about the potential
for policy reform. He told me that the public school district is the “provider
of last resort,” and that each year choice programs, like interdistrict public
school choice policies and charter schools, create a greater degree of
uncertainty in the number of students the public school district will have to
serve. This makes it harder for them to set their budgets. His suggestion is
that the cutoff date for participating in all choice programs be early, well
before September, and be coordinated across programs. This makes a lot of
sense.
Finally, I asked Professor Reback about his other related
work. In work with Robert Bifulco, he looks at how students attending charter
schools affects traditional school districts. They studied two school
districts. When a new charter school opens, the public school district needs to
decide how much to downsize, in terms of eliminating staff. The authors work
under the assumption that the school districts can easily downsize roughly 1/3
of what they need to eliminate quickly; another 1/3 will take one to three
years, like eliminating a principal; and the last 1/3 is the longer term
downsizing like eliminating a superintendent. They find that it’s the medium
term downsizing that is the hardest for the districts. And if the charter
school fails and closes, the traditional school has to absorb the students back
in. Professor Reback and his co-author have several policy recommendations to
make these sorts of transitions smoother: as mentioned before, setting a common
early deadline for choice programs will help here as well. Another is the
shared use of space. School districts now often sell their space to charter
schools. Instead, they could rent it, and so with schools sharing resources
both can be more productive. I think this is a brilliant idea.
Let’s talk! I would love to know what
you think about this example of unintended consequences. Please submit comments
and questions.
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